Ofsted

Ofsted Insights: achievement data tells one story - inspection tells another

Written by Alexandra Fowkes | Mar 31, 2026 11:53:45 AM

 

Introduction

Another batch of inspection reports landed as usual last week, this time alongside the publication of the national apprenticeship achievement rate data.

At first glance, the data provides a clear benchmark. Providers can now see exactly where they sit in relation to national achievement rates, both overall and by standard. For many, this offers reassurance. Achievement rates have improved, and a significant proportion of providers are operating within an acceptable range.

However, when this data is viewed alongside inspection evidence from this week’s reports and compared with the full set of reports published since January, a more nuanced picture emerges.

Achievement rates may set the baseline - but they are not determining the grade.

Achievement grade profile

This week’s reports closely mirror the broader pattern seen across all reports since January.

Across the full set of reports, most providers are judged to be meeting at least the Expected standard for achievement. However, there are also cases where judgements are more polarised, with a smaller group achieving Strong and a number falling into Needs attention. This is also where the Urgent improvement grade was given.

That urgent improvement judgement was driven by persistently low achievement over time and too many apprentices leaving early, rather than a single isolated issue. It reflects sustained weaknesses in outcomes rather than short-term fluctuation.

QAR Headlines

Based on the latest QAR headline it appears that the sector is not struggling with achievement overall but it is not yet consistently strong either.

The 24/25 national apprenticeship achievement rate has risen from 60.5% to 65.4%. Retention Rates are up from 61.9% to 66.7%.

The gap between 24/25 QAR and the Government 67% benchmark set back in 2022 (when it sat at 51.4%) is narrowing but it can vary greatly by apprenticeship standard. Most providers are operating at a level that meets national expectations, but fewer are demonstrating the consistency, depth and sustained impact required to move beyond this.

Achievement rates for ITPs increased from 57.7% to 63.4%; and apprenticeship achievement rates improved in every provider type with the exception of schools and 6th form colleges.

It is worth pointing out that the top performing providers with 100% QAR have very few learners – 20 and under. Whilst this is still a noteworthy feat, this is far more difficult to achieve with hundreds of learners let alone thousands!

When compared to the Apprenticeship Accountability Framework:

  • 847 (70.4%) are On Track
  • 176 (14.6%) Need Improvement
  • 87 (7.2%) are At Risk
  • 93 (7.7%) have insufficient data

The national dataset provides some insight into how a provider is performing but this is only part of the story. I have seen several providers with similar QAR receiving different Ofsted judgements for achievement - the differentiator is often not the percentage itself but what sits behind it.

What inspectors are actually testing

Inspection evidence, both this week and over time, shows that achievement is being interpreted through a wider lens than just the number.

Inspectors are consistently testing:

Consistency across provision

High achievement in one area does not offset weaker performance elsewhere. Variation across standards or cohorts continues to limit grades.

Retention and completion patterns

Across multiple reports since January, lower achievement is driven by withdrawals rather than pass rates.

Timely achievement

Delays in completion remain a common limiting factor, even where overall achievement appears secure.

Progress from starting points

Inspectors continue to focus on how much learners improve, particularly in provision with higher levels of need.

Quality of outcomes

Stronger judgements are linked not just to completion, but to high-quality work, progression and higher-level achievement (e.g. distinctions).

What inspectors actually say about achievement

Inspection language reinforces this distinction. Where provision is judged to be meeting the expected standard, inspectors typically note that:

“Apprentices make good progress from their starting points and achieve well."

“Apprentices quickly develop professional behaviours and apply their learning effectively in the workplace.”

“Learners achieve their personal and professional goals… [and] are well prepared for their next steps.”

Often this is accompanied by recognition of improvement, but with caution:

“Achievement is now above national rates. However, it is too early to judge whether these improvements are sustained.”

In stronger provision, the language becomes more definitive, with references to:

    • high-quality work
    • outcomes above national rates
    • and higher-level achievement such as distinction grades

The difference is not simply outcomes but how consistent and secure those outcomes are over time.

Where achievement is strongest

Across all published reports, providers judged Strong for achievement demonstrate a consistent model:

    • high and sustained achievement rates
    • strong timely completion
    • consistency across standards and learner groups
    • clear progression into employment or higher-level roles
    • evidence of higher-grade achievement

This highlights that these providers are not relying on isolated success. Their outcomes are reliable, repeatable and consistent.

Where achievement is being held back

Across the reports, the reasons providers need to improve are highly consistent and repeated again this week:

    • variation across standards or cohorts
    • lower timely achievement
    • high withdrawal rates
    • inconsistent monitoring of learner progress
    • gaps in outcomes for different learner groups

These trends can be found even in providers meeting Expected Standard and reinforces a key point - many providers are close to Strong but not yet consistent enough to evidence it.

What the national achievement data doesn’t show but inspection does

The overall national achievement data provides transparency, but it does not explain:

    • variation between standards
    • performance of different learner groups
    • the effectiveness of interventions

Inspection evidence fills this gap; the published reports consistently show that leaders must be able to interpret and act on their data, not simply report on it.

Senior leadership and Board-level questions:

    • How does our achievement break down across standards and learner groups?
    • What is driving any gaps in retention or timely achievement?
    • How consistent are outcomes across provision?
    • What does our performance trajectory show over time?
    • Can leaders clearly explain the story behind the data?

Final thoughts

The publication of national achievement data is always an important step for the sector. It provides clarity, transparency and a shared benchmark. When the data is viewed alongside inspection evidence a clear message emerges.

Achievement rates alone do not determine inspection outcomes

The sector is largely secure, with most providers meeting the expected standard.

The challenge now is moving beyond that by demonstrating:

    • consistency across provision
    • strength across all learner groups
    • sustained improvement over time

That is where the distinction between expected and strong is increasingly being made.

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